Unveiled: Shocking 2026 NFL Super Bowl Favorites According to the Opta Supercomputer
Buffalo Bills
- Rating: 10.1 (No. 18)
- xWins: 8.4
- Make Playoffs: 48.0%
- Win Division: 23.7%
- Super Bowl Champ: 2.2%
Baltimore Ravens
- Rating: 9.0 (No. 23)
- xWins: 7.8
- Make Playoffs: 32.5%
- Win Division: 18.4%
- Super Bowl Champ: 1.1%
Kansas City Chiefs
- Rating: 9.0 (No. 24)
- xWins: 8.0
- Make Playoffs: 38.5%
- Win Division: 23.7%
- Super Bowl Champ: 1.6%
We’re grouping these three teams together because they were the three preseason favorites to come out of the AFC last year. The Chiefs and Ravens missed the playoffs entirely and the Bills had such a frustrating playoff exit that they fired their coach. Our model puts the chance at all three missing the 2026 playoffs at 25%.



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