What’s Really Behind the Shocking Drop in Referee Scoring Accuracy?
Aside from the public comments, a larger storm has been quietly brewing. Scoring has collapsed across the league and it has disrupted a key league partner. Among those who are trying to figure out what’s going on with officiating are sportsbooks and the gambling community.
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In January, including the Brown rant game, free throws have suddenly plummeted across the NBA, which has consequently suppressed scoring totals and led to a relentless cascade of bets cashing the under on point totals. In the long run, sportsbooks are quite efficient in predicting point totals and typically see over/under bets cash closely around 50% on either side, just as it had in October, November and December this season. But in the month of January, according to the Odds Shark bet tracking database, unders have cashed a remarkable 64.7% of the time, with normally sharp bookmakers wildly underestimating the mark on a nightly basis.
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